Two points. That is all that stands between Andrea Kimi Antonelli and Sebastian Vettel’s 16-year-old record as the youngest world champion Formula 1 has ever crowned.

The Mercedes driver, 20 years old, is now 123 points clear of teammate George Russell with 125 available over the final five rounds. A ninth-place finish on Sunday at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez clinches the title regardless of what anyone else does, according to Motor Sport Magazine’s title permutations.

Antonelli reached that position with his ninth win of the season on Sunday in Austin, converting pole into a lights-to-flag victory ahead of Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc and Red Bull’s Max Verstappen. His winning time of 1:35:16.650 left Leclerc 13.078 seconds adrift and Verstappen another four seconds further back.

Wolff was not waiting for Mexico to pass judgment.

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“For me, the best race that he’s delivered so far,” the Mercedes team principal told reporters after the race, before adding: “The race of a champion who isn’t the champion yet, but exceptional.”

Antonelli himself was more measured.

“We are very close. We try to finish on a high and hopefully we can clinch it very soon,” he told Sky Sports.

First Italian champion since Ascari

A ninth place in Mexico would do more than crown Antonelli the youngest ever F1 world champion, beating Vettel’s record of 23 years and 134 days set at the 2010 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix. At the Mexico race, Antonelli will be 20 years and 68 days old, more than three years younger than Vettel was.

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It would also make him the first Italian to win the Formula 1 drivers’ title since Alberto Ascari’s second championship in 1953.

Hamilton and Russell still mathematically alive

The two drivers who can still deny Antonelli face increasingly narrow routes. Russell, 123 points back in second, would need to win each of the five remaining races while Antonelli scores no more than a single point across the lot. Lewis Hamilton, 124 points behind at Ferrari, needs the same clean sweep and for Antonelli to leave Mexico, Las Vegas, Qatar, Brazil and Abu Dhabi without a single point.

Verstappen, 129 points behind, is already out of contention.

The Mexico City Grand Prix is scheduled for Sunday, 1 November at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez.

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