Expected Goals (xG) offers a deeper insight into team performance beyond raw results. Here’s how all 20 Premier League teams stack up so far this season, ranked from lowest to highest xG per 90 minutes.
Brentford Struggling to Create Chances
Brentford sits at the bottom with an xG of just 0.98 per 90 minutes. Despite scoring once per match, they’re underperforming on quality chances and conceding heavily with an xGA of 1.54.
Crystal Palace Lacking Offensive Edge
Palace has an xG of 1.02, showing limited attacking productivity so far. Their defense is average, but converting opportunities remains a concern despite a positive actual goals-to-xG difference of +0.31.
Wolves Need to Sharpen in Attack
Wolverhampton Wanderers average 1.03 xG, ranking them joint-third from bottom. With only 0.67 goals scored per game, they’re well below what little they create and are conceding at a high rate too.
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Burnley Facing Defensive Crisis
Burnley also post 1.03 xG, but the real issue lies in defense, with a worrying 1.81 xGA—the highest in the league. Their xG difference of -0.78 puts them under severe pressure early on.
Leeds United Off the Pace
Leeds United’s xG of 1.10 hasn’t translated into goals, with just 0.33 scored per game. The attack is misfiring, and the team’s overall xG difference stands at -0.13—slightly underwhelming.
Everton’s Numbers Deceive
Everton match Leeds in xG at 1.10, but they’ve managed to score 1.67 goals per game, outperforming expectations. However, a high xGA of 1.56 highlights vulnerability at the back.
Sunderland Showing Promise
Sunderland comes in at 1.19 xG, just above Everton. While their xGA is a low 1.08, their actual goals per game of 1.67 show a clinical edge and some early-season efficiency.
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Fulham Failing to Convert
Fulham’s xG sits at 1.21, but they’ve only scored 0.67 goals per match, underperforming by over 0.5 goals. Their defense is also shaky, conceding 1.33 per 90 minutes.
Nottingham Forest Holding Steady
Forest are generating 1.32 xG per 90, slightly better than average. Their output and goals conceded closely align with expected values, suggesting a stable—if unspectacular—start.
Newcastle United Misfiring
Newcastle’s xG also stands at 1.32, but they’ve only managed 0.67 goals per game. Their defense has held up well with just 0.86 xGA, but offensive inefficiency is costing them.
Tottenham Balanced but Beatable
Tottenham posts 1.32 xG alongside a high 1.58 xGA, resulting in a negative xG difference. Their goal-scoring is better than expected, but defensive lapses are a growing concern.
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Aston Villa Underperforming Sharply
Despite an xG of 1.35, Aston Villa hasn’t scored a single goal yet. The team is underachieving by -1.35 goals compared to xG, the biggest gap in the league.
Arsenal Efficient at Both Ends
Arsenal generate 1.36 xG and concede just 0.33 goals per game, well below their 1.16 xGA. With 2 goals scored per match, they’re outperforming in both boxes.
Liverpool Firing on All Cylinders
Liverpool’s xG of 1.37 seems modest, but their actual scoring rate is an impressive 2.67 goals per match. Their overperformance of +1.30 is the highest in the Premier League so far.
Brighton Creating but Not Finishing
Brighton’s xG of 1.39 is respectable, but they’re only scoring 1 goal per match. With an xGA of 1.16, they’re also conceding slightly more than expected, leading to a mild underperformance.
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Manchester City Grinding Results
City’s xG is 1.42, with an actual scoring rate of 1.67 per game, aligning with their usual clinical edge. Their xG difference is modest at +0.09, but they remain effective on both ends.
West Ham on a Knife’s Edge
West Ham averages 1.50 xG and concedes 1.44 xGA, making them one of the most evenly matched sides statistically. However, their actual goals conceded (2.67 per game) signal a defense underperforming its metrics.
Bournemouth Holding Mid-Table Ground
Bournemouth’s 1.55 xG puts them among the better creators. However, their actual scoring lags slightly behind expectations at 1.33 goals per match.
Chelsea Looking Dangerous
Chelsea boasts 1.74 xG and has conceded only 0.33 goals per game, despite an xGA of 1.26. Their efficient conversion puts them at +0.59 above xG—a sign of a confident front line.
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Manchester United Not Capitalizing
Topping the xG table is Manchester United with 1.98 xG per match, but they’re only averaging 1.33 goals. Their -0.65 xG vs Actual highlights a major gap in finishing quality.
