Opta Supercomputer-Simulated La Liga Table: Full Season Prediction
The 2025-26 La Liga season has been simulated 10,000 times by Opta’s supercomputer, producing an intriguing look at how the campaign could play out. From a thrilling title race to a tense relegation scrap, here’s how every team is projected to finish – starting from the bottom.
20. Elche – 41.0
Elche are tipped to struggle throughout the season, averaging just 41 points across simulations. Survival seems unlikely unless they can outperform expectations in key home matches.
19. Real Oviedo – 41.0
Real Oviedo’s return to the top flight looks difficult as they also average 41 points. Their lack of top-tier experience could be costly in the relegation battle.
18. Levante – 42.0
Levante narrowly fall into the relegation zone with 42 points on average. A few draws turned into wins could see them climb to safety, but margins will be razor-thin.
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17. Getafe – 42.3
Getafe just about secure survival with 42.3 points, edging Levante by the smallest of margins. Defensive solidity will be their main weapon in staying up.
16. Espanyol – 43.6
Espanyol are predicted to have a tough season, finishing with 43.6 points. Avoiding injuries to key players could be crucial if they want to steer clear of trouble.
15. Sevilla – 43.9
It’s a disappointing projection for Sevilla, who average just 43.9 points. A mid-table finish might feel underwhelming for fans used to European football.
14. Girona – 44.2
Girona come in with 44.2 points, once again proving to be a solid mid-table side. They may not challenge for Europe, but relegation worries should be minimal.
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13. Alavés – 45.1
Alavés finish with an identical 45.1 points to Mallorca but edge them on simulations. Stability looks to be the theme as they comfortably avoid the drop.
12. Mallorca – 45.1
Mallorca are projected to end with 45.1 points, giving them another safe season. Consistency at home could be their key to staying well clear of danger.
11. Rayo Vallecano – 47.2
Rayo Vallecano secure 47.2 points and a respectable 11th place finish. Their high-pressing style should bring plenty of entertaining matches.
10. Valencia – 49.0
Valencia finish with 49 points, landing them in mid-table respectability. Their young talents could be the difference between mediocrity and a late European push.
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9. Real Sociedad – 49.8
Real Sociedad are projected to gather 49.8 points, placing them just shy of European qualification. If their attack clicks, they could surprise and finish higher.
8. Celta Vigo – 51.3
Celta Vigo enjoy a strong campaign with 51.3 points, cementing a top-half finish. European football could become a realistic target if they maintain form.
7. Osasuna – 52.3
Osasuna impress with 52.3 points, narrowly missing out on Europe. Their disciplined defense continues to be a cornerstone of their success.
6. Real Betis – 55.6
Real Betis secure 55.6 points and a spot in European competition once again. Expect them to be one of the most entertaining sides in the league.
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5. Athletic Club – 61.5
Athletic Club average 61.5 points, putting them firmly in the race for Europe. Their home form at San Mamés should play a big part in this strong finish.
4. Villarreal – 62.7
Villarreal take fourth place with 62.7 points, meaning Champions League football is within reach. Their attacking style could make them one of the league’s most watchable sides.
3. Atlético Madrid – 70.7
Atlético Madrid gather 70.7 points, finishing as clear third. Diego Simeone’s men remain a tough nut to crack and will likely be in the title conversation.
2. Real Madrid – 78.4
Real Madrid finish with 78.4 points, narrowly missing out on the title. With their firepower, they will be confident of turning simulations into a real-life triumph.
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1. Barcelona – 81.6
Barcelona top the simulations with 81.6 points, making them Opta’s favorites for the title. Xavi’s side are expected to combine attacking flair with defensive strength to reclaim domestic glory.
