Mohamed Salah, Erling Haaland, Viktor Gyokeres,

Supercomputer Predicts Premier League 2025/26 Golden Boot Winner

August 12, 2025 Rasmus Kristensen

The race for the Premier League’s Golden Boot is always one of the most exciting storylines of the season, but this year, a cutting-edge supercomputer has crunched the numbers to predict who is most likely to claim the crown.
From young outsiders with slim chances to proven world-class goal machines, the list covers 17 players in order of their statistical likelihood to finish as the league’s top scorer.
Here’s the full countdown — starting from the underdogs and building up to the overwhelming favorite.

17. Liam Delap – 0.03%

Ipswich’s young forward Liam Delap finds himself as a long shot in the Golden Boot race, with just a 0.03% chance according to the supercomputer. While his goal-scoring ability is promising, competing with the league’s elite will be a massive challenge this season.

16. Bryan Mbeumo – 0.03%

Manchester United winger Bryan Mbeumo also sits at the bottom of the list with 0.03%. Known for his pace and creativity, his role is likely to be more about providing assists than topping the scoring charts.

15. Jørgen Strand Larsen – 0.04%

Wolves’ striker Jørgen Strand Larsen has been given slim odds of 0.04%. While a capable finisher, he will need an exceptional season to compete with the top forwards in the league.

14. Evanilson – 0.04%

Evanilson, another Wolves attacker, shares the same percentage at 0.04%. The Brazilian is a clever forward, but his team’s style of play might limit his goal tally compared to the league’s biggest stars.

13. Antoine Semenyo – 0.04%

Bournemouth’s Antoine Semenyo is valued at 0.04% by the algorithm. He brings energy and physicality to the attack, yet will need a career-best campaign to break into the top goal-scorer conversation.

12. Hugo Ekitike – 0.05%

Liverpool’s Hugo Ekitike has a slightly better chance at 0.05%. The young striker has talent in abundance but will likely play a rotational role behind the club’s established stars.

11. Bruno Fernandes – 0.20%

Manchester United captain Bruno Fernandes gets a 0.20% chance. While not a traditional striker, his penalty-taking duties and knack for arriving late in the box keep him in the conversation.

10. Jarrod Bowen – 0.40%

West Ham’s Jarrod Bowen has been a consistent performer in recent seasons, earning him a 0.40% prediction. His versatility in attack makes him dangerous, though the Golden Boot might be a stretch.

9. Dominic Solanke – 0.40%

Now at Tottenham, Dominic Solanke matches Bowen’s 0.40% odds. His recent form has been impressive, and if he adapts quickly, he could outperform the prediction.

8. Yoane Wissa – 1.00%

Brentford’s Yoane Wissa receives a 1% chance. With his eye for goal and movement in the box, he can be a real threat, especially when partnered with Ivan Toney.

7. Jean-Philippe Mateta – 1.00%

Crystal Palace striker Jean-Philippe Mateta also comes in at 1%. His physical presence and aerial ability make him a handful for defenders, but consistency will be key.

6. Ollie Watkins – 1.20%

Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins is given a 1.20% shot. After a strong 2024/25 season, he will aim to keep his momentum, but competition at the top is fierce.

5. Cole Palmer – 1.90%

Chelsea’s Cole Palmer has enjoyed a rapid rise, reflected in his 1.90% prediction. A creative and confident attacker, he could surprise many if he maintains his form.

4. Chris Wood – 4.40%

Nottingham Forest’s Chris Wood boasts a surprisingly high 4.40% chance. A proven Premier League scorer, he will rely on his physicality and experience to challenge for goals.

3. Viktor Gyökeres – 4.90%

Arsenal’s Viktor Gyökeres enters with 4.90%, making him one of the dark horses. His power, pace, and finishing make him a dangerous addition to Mikel Arteta’s side.

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2. Mohamed Salah – 11.00%

Liverpool’s talisman Mohamed Salah sits firmly in second place with 11%. A consistent Golden Boot contender, Salah’s relentless scoring ability keeps him among the favorites year after year.

1. Erling Haaland – 64.90%

Manchester City’s Erling Haaland is the overwhelming favorite with a staggering 64.90% chance. After dominating the scoring charts since his arrival, the supercomputer predicts another record-breaking season for the Norwegian superstar.