Football

Supercomputer Predicts the Premier League’s Top 25 Goalscorers for 2025/26 – Ranked

The Premier League is set for another season full of drama, and goalscoring will once again take center stage. A supercomputer has run 100,000 simulations to predict who will top the scoring charts in the 2025/26 campaign, projecting the most clinical finishers across England’s top flight. From new arrivals to established legends, here’s a countdown of the top 25 expected goalscorers this season.

25. Matheus Cunha – Manchester United (8.2 goals)

Matheus Cunha
Christian Bertrand / Shutterstock.com

Matheus Cunha has shown promise since his arrival at Old Trafford, but injuries and poor luck in front of goal continue to hold him back. The projection of 8.2 goals suggests a difficult campaign ahead for the Brazilian.

24. Morgan Rogers – Aston Villa (8.3 goals)

Morgan Rogers
By u/reepers_hellcat - Some pics from the friendly v Villa (release), CC BY 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=173335740

After a breakout 2024/25 season, Morgan Rogers faces the pressure of following it up with another strong showing. A projection of 8.3 goals may feel underwhelming for a player tipped for stardom.

23. Raul Jimenez – Fulham (8.4 goals)

Raul Jimenez
Silvi Photo / Shutterstock.com

Veteran striker Raul Jimenez is expected to face a challenging season, competing with Rodrigo Muniz for minutes. His instincts remain sharp, but his predicted tally of 8.4 goals is a step back from last season.

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22. Nick Woltemade – Newcastle United (9.2 goals)

Nick Woltemade
Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

Newcastle splashed £73 million on Nick Woltemade, hoping he could replace Alexander Isak. The towering German is predicted to score 9.2 goals, a modest return that may leave fans wanting more.

21. Richarlison – Tottenham (9.5 goals)

Richarlison de Andrade
Betto rodrigues / Shutterstock.com

Richarlison has been inconsistent in recent years, but under Thomas Frank he could rediscover his form. The supercomputer expects him to score 9.5 goals, giving Spurs a reliable attacking option.

20. Dominic Solanke – Tottenham (9.5 goals)

Dominic Solanke
Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

Solanke faces competition for minutes in a crowded Tottenham attack. With injuries disrupting his preseason, he is forecasted to finish with the same 9.5 goals as Richarlison.

19. Igor Thiago – Brentford (9.8 goals)

Igor Thiago
Marco Iacobucci Epp / Shutterstock.com

Brentford’s knack for replacing strikers continues with Igor Thiago. The Brazilian forward has already shown glimpses of promise and is expected to score just under 10 goals this season.

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18. Jorgen Strand Larsen – Wolves (9.8 goals)

jørgen strand larsen
Alizada Studios / Shutterstock.com

Wolves rely heavily on Jorgen Strand Larsen to lead their frontline. While he scored 14 last season, his predicted 9.8 goals this year indicate a slight drop in output.

17. Ismaila Sarr – Crystal Palace (10 goals)

Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

Ismaila Sarr is settling into a new role at Crystal Palace and has already impressed early on. His projected tally of 10 goals would be a solid return for a wide forward.

16. Iliman Ndiaye – Everton (10.1 goals)

Iliman Ndiaye
Fabrizio Andrea Bertani / Shutterstock.com

Everton have built their attack around Iliman Ndiaye, whose flair and composure make him a fan favorite. The Senegalese forward is tipped to score 10.1 goals, potentially powering the Toffees to surprise results.

15. Yoane Wissa – Newcastle United (10.3 goals)

Yoane Wissa
Photo: Wikicommons.com

Yoane Wissa has taken over striking duties at Newcastle following Isak’s departure. His expected 10.3 goals won’t match the Swede’s output but should keep Newcastle’s attack competitive.

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14. Bryan Mbeumo – Manchester United (10.7 goals)

Mbeumo’s move to Manchester United raised expectations after his 20-goal campaign with Brentford. A predicted 10.7 goals marks a significant dip, but he may still play a crucial role.

13. Hugo Ekitike – Liverpool (11.1 goals)

Hugo Ekitike
Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock.com

Liverpool’s young striker Hugo Ekitike is tipped to reach 11.1 goals in his debut season. At just 22, this projection highlights his potential despite fierce competition for places.

12. Antoine Semenyo – Bournemouth (11.9 goals)

Antoine Semenyo
AFC Bournemouth, CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Semenyo is emerging as Bournemouth’s most dangerous attacking outlet. The Ghanaian winger is projected to score 11.9 goals, proving that he can threaten from the flanks.

11. Joao Pedro – Chelsea (12 goals)

João Pedro
instagram/joaopedro.oficial

Joao Pedro arrives at Chelsea with plenty of expectations, especially as one of the league’s most reliable penalty takers. His projection of 12 goals reflects both talent and responsibility.

Read also: 10 Best Free Agents Premier League Clubs Can Still Sign – Featuring Ex-England Trio

10. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United (12.1 goals)

Bruno Fernandes
Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

United’s midfield general Bruno Fernandes remains one of the league’s most consistent scorers. With penalty duties intact, he is expected to add 12.1 goals to his tally.

9. Cole Palmer – Chelsea (12.4 goals)

Cole Palmer
Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

Cole Palmer has become Chelsea’s go-to man for creativity and goals. With 12.4 projected goals, he continues to establish himself as one of the most effective young talents in England.

8. Jarrod Bowen – West Ham United (13.3 goals)

Jarrod Bowen
sbonsi / Shutterstock.com

West Ham’s talisman Jarrod Bowen is again tipped to carry his side’s attacking load. His 13.3 projected goals reflect his importance as both a scorer and penalty taker.

7. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa (13.8 goals)

Ollie Watkins
Mikolaj Barbanell / Shutterstock.com

Watkins has been a model of consistency for Aston Villa, scoring double figures season after season. A projection of 13.8 goals suggests he will once again lead Villa’s charge for Europe.

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6. Jean-Philippe Mateta – Crystal Palace (14.6 goals)

Jean-Philippe Mateta
daykung / Shutterstock.com

Crystal Palace will look to Mateta for goals as they chase European ambitions. The French striker is predicted to notch 14.6 goals, cementing his role as the team’s focal point.

5. Alexander Isak – Liverpool (14.7 goals)

Alexander Isak
ph.FAB / Shutterstock.com

Isak’s record-breaking transfer to Liverpool comes with heavy pressure. His 14.7 projected goals indicate a solid return, but perhaps not enough to challenge for the Golden Boot in year one.

4. Chris Wood – Nottingham Forest (15.4 goals)

Chris Wood
Photo: Colin McPhedran / Shutterstock.com

Chris Wood surprised many by hitting 20 goals last season. While his numbers are expected to dip, a projected 15.4 goals would still be an excellent contribution for Forest.

3. Mohamed Salah – Liverpool (16 goals)

salah
Javier Borrego / Shutterstock.com

Salah’s legacy as one of the Premier League’s greatest forwards remains unchallenged. With 16 predicted goals, he is once again expected to be among the division’s most lethal attackers.

2. Viktor Gyökeres – Arsenal (18.3 goals)

Viktor Gyokeres
Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

Arsenal’s big attacking signing Viktor Gyökeres is projected to settle quickly in the Premier League. His 18.3 expected goals make him the league’s second-highest scorer in the forecast.

1. Erling Haaland – Manchester City (25 goals)

Erling Haaland
Maciej Rogowski Photo / Shutterstock.com

No surprises at the top as Erling Haaland dominates the predictions once more. With 25 goals expected, the Norwegian is tipped to secure another Golden Boot and extend his astonishing scoring record.

Oliver Obel

Oliver Obel – Sports Content Creator & Football Specialist I’m a passionate Sports Content Creator with a strong focus on football. I write for LenteDesportiva, where I produce high-quality content that informs, entertains, and connects with football fans around the world. My work revolves around player rankings, transfer analysis, and in-depth features that explore the modern game. I combine a sharp editorial instinct with a deep understanding of football’s evolution, always aiming to deliver content that captures both insight and emotion.