Supercomputer’s 2025–26 Premier League prediction: winners, losers and surprises
A leading Supercomputer, working with Opta, has crunched the numbers from the first 11 gameweeks to predict the final 2025–26 Premier League standings. With shocks at both ends of the table, this data-driven projection hints at title redemption for one club, more heartbreak for others, and a fierce relegation fight to the final whistle.
20. Wolves – 26 points

The Supercomputer sees no escape for Wolves this season. Winless after 11 matches and without a permanent manager, the outlook is grim for fans at Molineux.
19. Leeds United – 36 points

Daniel Farke’s side is projected to fall just short of survival. Despite flashes of quality, Leeds' inability to string results together may seal their return to the Championship.
18. Burnley – 36 points

Scott Parker’s men are also tipped to go down on 36 points. The Clarets haven't found their feet in the top flight and may pay the price for a leaky defence.
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17. West Ham – 37 points

It’s a narrow escape for the Hammers, just one point above the drop zone. Nuno Espirito Santo's arrival hasn't reversed the post-Moyes slump, but it might be just enough to survive.
16. Nottingham Forest – 38 points

Sean Dyche is Forest’s third manager this season, but his rescue mission looks set to fall short of expectations. A 16th-place finish would be viewed as failure by their demanding ownership.
15. Fulham – 43 points

The Cottagers are stuck in mid-table purgatory once again. Despite stability under Marco Silva, they continue to trail behind their London rivals.
14. Sunderland – 46 points

Sunderland's return to the Premier League looks set to be a success. Regis Le Bris has built a side that punches above its weight, even if the Supercomputer sees them slipping from their current fourth-place position.
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13. Everton – 48 points

Despite investment, a new stadium, and signings like Jack Grealish, Everton have underwhelmed. David Moyes’ second stint hasn't ignited a serious push up the table.
12. Newcastle United – 53 points

From a fifth-place finish last season to a predicted 12th this time, it’s a steep fall. Injuries and poor form up front have hurt the Magpies’ momentum badly.
11. Brentford – 53 points

Given their summer losses—players and manager alike—Brentford will be thrilled with this outcome. Keith Andrews has steadied the ship amid major upheaval.
10. Tottenham – 54 points

Despite an upgrade from last season’s near-relegation scare, tension is building at Spurs. Thomas Frank’s side may lack the cohesion to push higher.
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9. Brighton – 55 points

The Seagulls are no longer the darlings of surprise finishes. Fabian Hurzeler’s team is solid but no longer exceeding expectations.
8. Bournemouth – 56 points

Andoni Iraola’s side continues to rise, building on last season’s ninth-place finish. A European spot is still just out of reach, but progress is clear.
7. Manchester United – 56 points

The Red Devils are just about in the mix for Europe. A five-game unbeaten streak has stabilised their form, but it’s not enough for anything beyond the Europa Conference League.
6. Crystal Palace – 59 points

Palace have found their stride under Oliver Glasner, winning the FA Cup and challenging the top six. Their predicted Europa League return confirms their new status as a serious force.
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5. Aston Villa – 60 points

Unai Emery’s men bounced back from a rocky start, climbing into the European places. It’s another strong campaign despite off-field pressures.
4. Chelsea – 68 points

The Blues continue to rebuild under Enzo Maresca. While a 17-point gap to the top will sting, a second straight Champions League qualification and potential trophies show progress.
3. Liverpool – 68 points

Despite a strong start, Arne Slot’s side has crumbled with five losses in six games. Champions League qualification softens the blow, but the title defence has fallen apart.
2. Manchester City – 75 points

Haaland’s resurgence isn’t enough for City to reclaim their crown. A fourth straight runners-up finish might test Pep Guardiola’s patience.
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1. Arsenal – 82 points

At last, Arsenal end their 20-year title drought. Mikel Arteta’s Gunners have found consistency, balance, and steel—conceding just five goals in 11 games to top the table by seven clear points.
