AI predicts Arsenal and Man City’s remaining Premier League results in 25/26 title race
The Premier League title race may be heading for one of its closest finishes ever, with projections suggesting Arsenal and Manchester City could end the season level on points.
A simulation reported by GiveMeSport indicates both sides could finish on 83 points, leaving goal difference to determine the champion — a rare and dramatic outcome that would underline just how tight this season has become.
With only a handful of matches remaining, there is virtually no margin for error. Arsenal currently lead the table, but City’s game in hand means the balance could shift quickly.
Premier League Table
| Position | Club | Played | Wins | Draws | Losses | Goals | Goals conceded | Goal difference | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 65 | 26 | +37 | 70 |
| 2 | Man City | 31 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 65 | 29 | +36 | 67 |
Aston Villa had briefly remained in contention but have fallen away after inconsistent results in recent weeks.
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How Manchester City’s Run-In Could Decide the Title
City appear to have momentum at a crucial stage. According to the projections, Pep Guardiola’s side are likely to win five of their final six matches.
The only potential slip comes away at Everton, where a draw could briefly slow their charge. Outside of that, City are forecast to secure wins across the board — including comfortable victories against Burnley and Bournemouth.
If that scenario plays out, their attacking strength could prove decisive, particularly in boosting goal difference late in the season.
AI Predicts Result of Manchester City's Remaining Premier League Games
| Opponent | Stadium | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | Turf Moor | 22/04/26 | W (0-3) |
| Everton | Hill Dickinson Stadium | 04/05/26 | D (1-1) |
| Brentford | Etihad Stadium | 09/05/26 | W (3-1) |
| Bournemouth | Vitality Stadium | 17/05/26 | W (0-2) |
| Aston Villa | Etihad Stadium | 24/05/26 | W (2-1) |
| Crystal Palace | Etihad Stadium | TBA | W (2-0) |
Arsenal’s Path: Consistent, But Is It Enough?
Arsenal are projected to remain unbeaten through the final stretch, but one dropped result could prove costly.
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The model suggests wins against Newcastle and Fulham before a draw at West Ham — a result that may ultimately define the title race. From there, Mikel Arteta’s side are expected to finish strongly with victories over Burnley and Crystal Palace.
It’s a solid run, but without perfection, they may be left relying on City to slip.
AI Predicts Result of Arsenal's Remaining Premier League Games
| Opponent | Stadium | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | Emirates Stadium | 25/04/26 | W (2-1) |
| Fulham | Emirates Stadium | 02/05/26 | W (3-0) |
| West Ham United | London Stadium | 10/05/26 | D (1-1) |
| Burnley | Emirates Stadium | 17/05/26 | W (2-0) |
| Crystal Palace | Selhurst Park | 24/05/26 | W (2-1) |
Title Race Could Come Down to Fine Margins
If these projections hold, both teams would finish with identical records — 25 wins, eight draws and five defeats.
That would leave goal difference as the deciding factor, with City narrowly ahead. Given how dominant both sides have been, such a finish would reflect a title race defined by the smallest of margins — where a single draw or missed chance could separate first from second.
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Sources: GiveMeSport
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